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🎄 Christmas Forecast 2025

Turning colder for Christmas

Update #9 - 19th December

We're heading firmly into last minute territory now - if you have shopping left to do, it's time to crack on!

The weather is on the change, with high pressure moving in to bring drier, colder conditions for Christmas, but we're not ruling out the chance of snow in places, yet. At closer range, there's still some rain likely at times as the great Xmas getaway gets underway this weekend.

Santa Shaker!

We're settled on the broader picture for Christmas day now - high pressure start to make its presence felt on Christmas eve, to be centred somewhere to the northeast or east of the UK by the 25th. That's going to leave us with a lot of chilly, settled weather, with the best of the sunshine probably further west, but the exact position of the high is still up for grabs, and it's that which'll define that detail, along with the risk of seeing a at least a few flakes of snow here and there.

UKMO Map for Christmas day

The Met Office model above is one of the models that wants to take the high a bit further north at the moment, which allows some colder air to be pulled into the UK - if this version of events played out then we could well see a bit of snow here and there.

ECMWF model for Christmas day

The ECMWF model (above), has the high further south - it would still be chilly at the surface, but the air aloft wouldn't be cold enough to support snow - so anything falling from the sky would be (drizzly) rain.

Just now, the slightly less cold option is the most likely, but only just - and it's something we'll certainly continue to monitor, with a view to firming the forecast up over the coming few days.

Give Santa a shake to find out the current chances of seeing at least a flake of snow in your region and check in Saturday for the next update.

🎁 Christmas Day Weather Facts

  • Deepest Snow 47cm in Perthshire in 1981 ❄️
  • Last 'proper' White Xmas 2010 was the last widespread White Christmas with over 80% of the weather stations reporting lying snow on the day ⛄
  • Coldest -18.3°C in Gainford, Durham in 1878 🥶
  • Warmest 15.6°C in Devon in 1920 🌡️
  • Wettest 165.8mm in Shap, Cumbria in 2015 💧
Tap the snowman for a joke

🎄 Next Update: Saturday 20th December 🎅


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